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中国及各油区油气储产比分析和对发展战略的启示

张 抗   

  1. 中国石化石油勘探开发研究院
  • 出版日期:2015-03-15 发布日期:2015-05-21
  • 作者简介:张抗(1940-),男,山东费县人,硕士,1981 年毕业于中国科学院研究生院,教授级高级工程师,现从事油气勘察开发、 油气和能源发展战略研究工作。地址: 北京市海淀区学院路31 号中国石化石油勘探开发研究院,邮政编码:100083。 E-mail:zhangkang.syky@sinopec.com

Analysis of Oil and Gas Reserve-Production Ratio of China’s Various Oil Areas

Zhang Kang   

  1. Sinopec Research Institute of Petroleum Exploration and Development
  • Online:2015-03-15 Published:2015-05-21

摘要: 储产比是当年剩余储量与产量的比值,他的变化是油气生产形势的反映。对21 世纪以来全国和各大产 区石油和天然气储产比研究基础上,分析了油气发展态势。认为经过约30 年的努力,油气勘探开发的第二次战略展 开已基本完成,实现了油气并举的战略意图,各产区间发展趋于平衡,建成了新的油气工业基地。实践表明,老油区 的挖潜是油气持续发展的重要条件,向低品位、乃至非常规油气开拓已成为油气勘探开发中越来越重要的战略方向。 但近年储产量增速明显降低、储产比减小、开发较早油田出现某些老化现象,迫切需要在深化老油田(区)挖潜的同 时及早准备开展新一轮的战略接替,开拓新领域和新产区。在发展战略上应注意:(1)常规油气和非常规油气并举。 在常规油气范畴内投资的排序是:老油气田已开发储量的增储上产、未动用储量的开发、新油气田和产区的开拓,但 应保障足够的风险探井的实施。在非常规油气中要促进致密油气、页岩油气、煤层气的开发。(2)继续开拓陆上深层、 探索海上中生界等海相油气新领域。(3)大力推进对已经证明有含油气远景的新产区开拓,如西藏高原保存条件较 好的羌塘等地块的海相层和以班公湖—怒江为代表的以陆相为主体的裂谷带, 北方除华北、塔里木等地块以外地区 以海相为主体的上古生界、南海大陆架以外的深—超深水区。

Abstract: The reserve-production ratio is the ratio between the remaining reserves and production in the same year, reflecting the changes in the oil production situation. Based on the study of the oil and natural gas reserve-production ratio of major oil areas nationwide in the past decade, this paper makes analysis of the oil and gas development momentum. The strategy to put the same emphasis on both oil and natural gas has been basically realized in the efforts for exploration and development in the past three decades, with new oil and gas industrial bases established. The practice indicates that tapping of potential in old oil areas is an important condition for sustainable development. Lowgrade reserves and even unconventional oil and gas reserves have become more and more important strategic areas of oil and gas exploration and development. However, the growth of reserves and production has been obviously slowed down in recent years with the reserveproduction ratio reduced. Since the early-developed oilfields become aging and deteriorating, it is of great urgency to open up new fields and new producing areas while tapping the potential in old oil areas for strategic resources replacement. The development strategy should be focused on the following areas. First, put the same emphasis on both conventional and unconventional oil and gas development. Investment in conventional oil and gas development should follow the order of such priorities: increase of reserves and production in old oil areas, development of unproduced reserves, expansion of new oilfields and oil areas and drilling of adequate risk exploration wells. (2) The efforts should be continued for onshore deep layers and offshore Mesozoic oil and gas areas of marine facies. (3) Energetically promote exploration and development of the new producing areas which are confirmed to have oil and gas prospect, such as the well-preserved Qiangtang block of marine in Tibetan Plateau and the rift belt of continental facies represented by Bangong Lake – Nujiang River area, and the Upper Paleozoic System of marine facies in the north excluding Huabei area and Tarim area as well as the deep to ultra-deep zones outside the continental shelf of South China Sea.