中国石油勘探 ›› 2011, Vol. 16 ›› Issue (2): 24-29,85,86.

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珠江口盆地区带法油气资源评价的勘探检验

张宽   

  • 出版日期:2011-04-15 发布日期:2011-04-15

Verification of Play Analysis Method for Oil and Gas Resources Assessment in Pearl River Mouth Basin by Exploration

Zhang Kuan   

  • Online:2011-04-15 Published:2011-04-15

摘要: 2006年笔者曾经采用区带评价方法,即基于珠江口盆地438个未钻圈闭,按照划分的39个评价单元和建立的各单元石油地质模型,预测了各单元的待发现油气田规模、数量及待发现油气资源量。在给出上述评价的主要参数、评价结果和基本结论的基础上,重点就珠江口盆地2006—2009年主要探区勘探结果与4年前的预测一一做了对比。检验结果表明,2006年预测的基本结论与4年来的勘探结果总体上是一致的。通过这一认识、实践的具体事例分析,进一步论述了开展系统的区带法油气资源评价的必要性和可行性,认为区带评价应该是油公司勘探地质研究的主线。预测一个地质单元待发现油气田的规模和数量,预测尚未获得商业性油气发现地质单元至少找到一个油气田的概率,并随着勘探进程不断修正已做出的预测,是地质评价的核心问题。最后,还讨论了珠江口盆地油气资源评价中存在的诸如未钻圈闭的落实与数据更新、白云南部丘状异常体评价单元更倾向于含油还是含气、成藏主控因素研究和扩展储量等问题。

关键词: 珠江口盆地, 区带评价, 勘探检验

Abstract: In 2006, the author in this paper used the play assessment method to predict the size, number and undiscovered oil & gas resources of the undiscovered oil and gas fields in 39 units of the Pearl River Mouth Basin, based on 438 undrilled traps and the geological model of each unit. On the basis of giving the major evaluation parameters, results, and basic conclusions, the author focuses on comparing the exploration results in main exploration areas from 2006 to 2009 with the forecast accomplished four years ago, which are proved the same in general. The play analysis method is proved to be necessary and feasible after case study of above-mentioned verification. It is believed that the play assessment should be the mainline in geology study of oil companies. It is the core of geological evaluation to predict the size and number of undiscovered oil & gas fields in a specific unit, to predict the probability that at least one oil and gas field should be found in the units that no commercial discoveries have been made, and to verify the predictionhaving been made as the exploration progresses. Finally the author discusses the concerned problems in the Pearl RiverMouth Basin resources assessment such as the data updating of undrilled traps, the oil-trend or gas-trend in southern margin of Baiyun Sag, the deeply study of main-control elements on reservoir forming, and the reserve growth as well as its meaning.

Key words: Pearl River Mouth Basin, play assessment, verification by exploration

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