中国石油勘探 ›› 2010, Vol. 15 ›› Issue (5): 77-80,86.

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全球LNG资源分布特征及供应预测

康安,樊鹏军,王小林   

  • 出版日期:2010-10-15 发布日期:2010-10-15

Global LNG Distribution and Supply Forecast

Kang An,Fan Pengjun and Wang Xiaolin   

  1. Kang An, Fan Pengjun, Wang Xiaolin//CNOOC Research Center, Beijing 100029
  • Online:2010-10-15 Published:2010-10-15

摘要: 作为低碳经济和清洁能源利用的一个重要组成部分,液化天然气(LNG)在全球能源市场上的份额逐年增加。结合中国石油公司参与LNG液化厂项目的最新进展,对全球LNG液化厂的资源供应情况进行了分析,总结了全球LNG资源分布的特点,并按照LNG项目的预期投产顺序,对2020年前LNG的供应做了预测,在此基础上对LNG资源和供应提出了几点认识:①在未来10年内LNG资源是充足的;②LNG资源主要分布在卡塔尔、伊朗、澳大利亚和尼日利亚4个国家,其可采储量占全球LNG可采储量的82%;③预测LNG供应将以平均9%的速度增长。

关键词: 全球LNG, 天然气资源, 供应

Abstract: As one of main drives of low-carbon economy and an important component of clean energy, liquefied natural gas (LNG) plays a more and more important role in primary energy supply. Incorporated with updated information of liquefaction plants involved by Chinese oil companies, the information about resource supply of global LNG plants is analyzed, the characteristics of LNG distribution worldwide is summarized, and LNG supply before 2020 is predicted according to the expected production order of LNG projects. Based on this, some recognitions about LNG resources and supply are proposed as follows: ① LNG resources are adequate in the coming 10 years; ② LNG resources are mainly distributed in Qatar, Iran, Australia and Nigeria, where recoverable reserves account for 82% of the total recoverable reserves worldwide; ③ LNG supply is predicted to increase by 9% annually

Key words: global LNG, natural gas resources, supply

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